Duke Blue Devils leads the early 2027 board at average rank 1.33, ahead of Florida and Illinois. The order mixes the live FCP Composite Top 25 with KenPom and ESPN BPI.
Board frozen from Nov. 6, 2026. Predictor rank movement shows Baseline. Records and game logs use ESPN schedules through 2026-11-06 when packed.
2027 NCAA Championship Favorites
Duke Blue Devils
Polls: AP 2 · Coaches 2 · CBS 2
Last 2 games (through 2026-11-06)
- W 2026-11-05 Coastal Carolina Chanticleers 113-52
- W 2026-11-02 Army West Point Black Knights 84-50
Florida Gators
Polls: AP 1 · Coaches 1 · CBS 1
Last 2 games (through 2026-11-06)
- W 2026-11-05 Jacksonville Dolphins 88-57
- W 2026-11-02 Miami Hurricanes 77-67
Illinois Fighting Illini
Polls: AP 3 · Coaches 3 · CBS 3
Last 2 games (through 2026-11-06)
- W 2026-11-05 Pennsylvania Quakers 112-70
- W 2026-11-02 FDU Knights 120-45
Texas Longhorns
Polls: AP 7 · Coaches 7 · CBS 6
Last 2 games (through 2026-11-06)
- W 2026-11-05 Gardner-Webb Runnin’ Bulldogs 98-50
- W 2026-11-02 Chicago State Cougars 109-59
Michigan State Spartans
Polls: AP 6 · Coaches 6 · CBS 7
Last 2 games (through 2026-11-06)
- W 2026-11-05 Toledo Rockets 91-61
- W 2026-11-02 Quinnipiac Bobcats 96-59
Houston Cougars
Polls: AP 10 · Coaches 8 · CBS 13
Last 1 games (through 2026-11-06)
- W 2026-11-02 La Salle Explorers 94-55
Arizona Wildcats
Polls: AP 5 · Coaches 4 · CBS 15
Last 2 games (through 2026-11-06)
- W 2026-11-05 Cal Poly Mustangs 104-84
- L 2026-11-02 UCLA Bruins 75-84
Virginia Cavaliers
Polls: AP 9 · Coaches 10 · CBS 9
Last 1 games (through 2026-11-06)
- W 2026-11-03 Drexel Dragons 89-60
Full early board
Swipe sideways on mobile to see every rank column.
| # | Team | Conf. | Next | Results | Avg | Composite | KenPom | BPI | Composite score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Baseline |
Duke Blue Devils
2-0
W2
|
Atlantic Coast Conference |
Last 2 games (through 2026-11-06)
|
1.33 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 82.8 | |
| 2 Baseline |
Florida Gators
2-0
W2
|
Southeastern Conference |
Last 2 games (through 2026-11-06)
|
1.67 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 86.25 | |
| 3 Baseline |
Illinois Fighting Illini
2-0
W2
|
Big Ten Conference |
Last 2 games (through 2026-11-06)
|
3.33 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 79.35 | |
| 4 Baseline |
Texas Longhorns
2-0
W2
|
Southeastern Conference |
Last 2 games (through 2026-11-06)
|
6 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 66.7 | |
| 5 Baseline |
Michigan State Spartans
2-0
W2
|
Big Ten Conference |
Last 2 games (through 2026-11-06)
|
6.33 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 67.85 | |
| 6 Baseline |
UConn Huskies
1-0
W1
|
Big East Conference |
Last 1 games (through 2026-11-06)
|
6.67 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 74.75 | |
| 7 Baseline |
Houston Cougars
1-0
W1
|
Big 12 Conference |
Last 1 games (through 2026-11-06)
|
7.33 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 54.05 | |
| 8 Baseline |
Arizona Wildcats
1-1
W1
|
Big 12 Conference |
Last 2 games (through 2026-11-06)
|
10.67 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 62.1 | |
| 9 Baseline |
Virginia Cavaliers
1-0
W1
|
Atlantic Coast Conference |
Last 1 games (through 2026-11-06)
|
11 | 8 | 14 | — | 57.5 | |
| 10 Baseline |
Kansas Jayhawks
1-0
W1
|
Big 12 Conference |
Last 1 games (through 2026-11-06)
|
11.33 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 43.7 | |
| 11 Baseline |
Tennessee Volunteers
1-0
W1
|
Southeastern Conference |
Last 1 games (through 2026-11-06)
|
12 | 11 | 20 | 5 | 51.75 | |
| 12 Baseline |
Iowa State Cyclones
0-1
L1
|
Big 12 Conference |
Last 1 games (through 2026-11-06)
|
12.33 | 20 | 11 | 6 | 20 | |
| 13 Baseline |
Gonzaga University
1-0
W1
|
Pac 12 Conference |
Last 1 games (through 2026-11-06)
|
12.67 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 46 | |
| 14 Baseline |
St. John's Red Storm
1-0
W1
|
Big East Conference |
Last 1 games (through 2026-11-06)
|
14 | 14 | — | — | 44.85 | |
| 15 Baseline |
Alabama Crimson Tide
1-0
W1
|
Southeastern Conference |
Last 1 games (through 2026-11-06)
|
14.67 | 19 | 10 | 15 | 21.85 |
Why Duke edges Florida
Florida is unanimous No. 1 in the FCP Composite. Duke is No. 2 there but No. 1 on both KenPom and ESPN BPI, so the three-rank average tips to Durham. Illinois holds third across the board. That trio is the early cluster.
Related reading
Frequently asked questions
Who is favored to win the 2027 NCAA men’s basketball championship right now?
Duke leads at a 1.33 average rank across the FCP Composite Top 25, KenPom, and ESPN BPI. Florida is second at 1.67 and Illinois third at 3.33.
What data does the FCP 2027 NCAA champion predictor use?
It averages Composite Top 25 rank (AP + Coaches + CBS Top 25 And 1), KenPom, and ESPN BPI when available.
Where can I see the full Composite Top 25?
The live table is at the Composite Top 25 page.
Will this 2027 champion predictor be updated?
Yes. It moves with the Monday composite refresh and with KenPom and BPI.
